Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.112620 1.321815 1.540592 1.784946 2.048822 2.323898 2.631064
2025-02-02 0.876841 1.180038 1.516532 1.911164 2.355452 2.835106 3.387289
2025-02-09 0.762812 1.119483 1.531241 2.028867 2.602778 3.234417 3.973331
2025-02-16 0.652692 1.045504 1.516730 2.102167 2.791817 3.563358 4.477990
2025-02-23 0.544902 0.956475 1.469650 2.124180 2.910318 3.802661 4.872727
2025-03-02 0.417246 0.823521 1.354668 2.052993 2.909936 3.897944 5.097118
2025-03-09 0.308456 0.698956 1.237213 1.967630 2.883353 3.955164 5.270968
2025-03-16 0.234262 0.611774 1.159517 1.924382 2.901258 4.059254 5.494299
2025-03-23 0.195214 0.573031 1.143627 1.957359 3.010454 4.269862 5.840659
2025-03-30 0.154698 0.523986 1.108250 1.960975 3.080161 4.431013 6.127086
2025-04-06 0.113555 0.464070 1.051162 1.931105 3.104207 4.534425 6.342987
2025-04-13 0.100807 0.457650 1.073580 2.009101 3.265825 4.805379 6.758788
2025-04-20 0.090696 0.457552 1.109317 2.111552 3.467268 5.135320 7.258188
2025-04-27 0.084195 0.464783 1.157150 2.232307 3.694594 5.499847 7.802707
2025-05-04 0.080791 0.478349 1.214597 2.366160 3.938561 5.884486 8.370971
2025-05-11 0.069222 0.468624 1.232880 2.443689 4.108510 6.177584 8.829163
2025-05-18 0.052374 0.438964 1.215475 2.468262 4.207487 6.381676 9.179076
2025-05-25 0.028468 0.373447 1.130745 2.390785 4.168021 6.410764 9.314784
2025-06-01 0.011468 0.309017 1.039524 2.298111 4.104079 6.405979 9.406511
2025-06-08 0.003712 0.265887 0.981397 2.251038 4.098491 6.472081 9.582288
2025-06-15 0.001480 0.251489 0.977640 2.286925 4.206144 6.682154 9.935325
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.228774 0.954414 2.290854 4.268695 6.833917 10.215911
2025-06-29 NaN 0.197876 0.909752 2.258361 4.278970 6.917414 10.411056